Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.030382 0.033143 0.035868 0.038755 0.041721 0.044676 0.047836
2024-12-15 0.025282 0.029771 0.034313 0.039230 0.044379 0.049594 0.055256
2024-12-22 0.020820 0.026392 0.032162 0.038524 0.045288 0.052225 0.059837
2024-12-29 0.017793 0.024166 0.030905 0.038448 0.046567 0.054971 0.064267
2025-01-05 0.015126 0.022076 0.029580 0.038101 0.047373 0.057050 0.067824
2025-01-12 0.012758 0.020124 0.028248 0.037605 0.047890 0.058704 0.070813
2025-01-19 0.010138 0.017681 0.026223 0.036222 0.047334 0.059110 0.072376
2025-01-26 0.009174 0.017115 0.026262 0.037073 0.049164 0.062036 0.076583
2025-02-02 0.007892 0.016060 0.025669 0.037156 0.050097 0.063941 0.079645
2025-02-09 0.006279 0.014457 0.024353 0.036355 0.049996 0.064675 0.081396
2025-02-16 0.005360 0.013675 0.023966 0.036578 0.051001 0.066585 0.084388
2025-02-23 0.004339 0.012661 0.023246 0.036375 0.051495 0.067904 0.086707
2025-03-02 0.003250 0.011531 0.022458 0.036216 0.052191 0.069617 0.089657
2025-03-09 0.002453 0.010756 0.022113 0.036603 0.053548 0.072109 0.093519
2025-03-16 0.001416 0.009359 0.020895 0.035901 0.053626 0.073156 0.095771
2025-03-23 0.000775 0.008437 0.020232 0.035825 0.054388 0.074935 0.098799
2025-03-30 0.000257 0.007434 0.019389 0.035487 0.054812 0.076306 0.101349
2025-04-06 NaN 0.006427 0.018465 0.035004 0.055035 0.077423 0.103589
2025-04-13 NaN 0.005055 0.016897 0.033656 0.054203 0.077317 0.104442
2025-04-20 NaN 0.004858 0.017060 0.034485 0.055925 0.080090 0.108481
2025-04-27 NaN 0.004322 0.016655 0.034565 0.056742 0.081817 0.111339
2025-05-04 NaN 0.003440 0.015614 0.033785 0.056507 0.082327 0.112817
2025-05-11 NaN 0.003053 0.015350 0.034002 0.057452 0.084170 0.115772